AI optimism pushes Microsoft above $500/share — will it be next to join the $4 trillion club?

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Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella. (GeekWire Photo / Kevin Lisota)

Microsoft shares closed above $500 for the first time Wednesday — a symbolic milestone as Wall Street increasingly bets on its role in the AI boom.

The Redmond company’s market value is more than $3.7 trillion, and Wedbush analysts predicted Thursday morning that the company is on its way to a $4 trillion valuation. That was a mark briefly reached by Nvidia earlier this week, driven by demand for its AI chips. 

“We believe Microsoft will also hit the $4 trillion market cap club this summer and then over the next 18 months the focus will be on the $5 trillion club,” wrote Wedbush analyst Dan Ives and colleagues in a note to clients, saying they believe the AI-driven tech bull market is still in its early phases.

Microsoft shares are up more than 6% over the past month. (Copilot Search Graphic)

Microsoft is making AI investments across cloud services, including Microsoft Copilot, Office and GitHub. It also continues to benefit from its high-profile partnership with OpenAI, even as that relationship evolves.

It’s spending heavily on AI infrastructure with $80 billion in annual capital expenditures in its recently completed fiscal year.

At the same time, Microsoft has been shedding jobs, cutting around 15,000 positions over the past few months, citing a desire to boost efficiencies. Speaking with reporters on Wednesday, Microsoft President Brad Smith said AI was “not a predominant factor” in the job cuts. 

Microsoft saved more than $500 million last year using AI in its call centers, while also boosting employee and customer satisfaction, according to a Bloomberg News report, citing an internal presentation by Chief Commercial Officer Judson Althoff.

In its latest AI initiative, Microsoft on Wednesday announced a $4 billion commitment over five years to help schools and nonprofits adopt AI through a new program called Microsoft Elevate. The program, which includes cash and technology donations, aims to train 20 million people in AI skills over the next two years.

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